Vistamark Investments
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Insights

Market Commentary

Our view of the markets from CIO Matthew Rice, CFA, CAIA: the weekly Market Compass, quarterly outlooks, and our annual capital market assumptions.

Watch · 2026 Capital Market Assumptions

Where we expect markets to go over the next ten years

Each year our Chief Investment Officer, Matthew Rice, CFA, CAIA, presents the capital market assumptions behind every Vistamark portfolio: the expected return, risk and correlation we use for each major asset class, from U.S. and international equities to bonds, private equity, private credit and real assets.

In this presentation he explains how the assumptions are built, what changed from last year and why, and how investment committees, families and advisors should use them when setting asset allocation and spending policy.

Watch on YouTube ↗ · More on the Vistamark channel

2026 Capital Market Assumptions — video by Matthew Rice, CFA, CAIA
2026 Capital Market Assumptions · Matthew Rice, CFA, CAIA · January 21, 2026

Weekly

Market Compass

Full archive (65 issues)
Market Recap & Outlook: Your Weekly Market Compass – October 9, 2026 Market Compass

Market Recap & Outlook: Your Weekly Market Compass – October 9, 2026

Stocks set fresh records this week even as the bond market tested levels not seen in a generation. The S&P 500 notched…

Matthew Rice · October 9, 2026 · 10 min read
Q3 2026 Market Review: Middle East Conflict, Soaring Yields, and AI Market Compass

Q3 2026 Market Review: Middle East Conflict, Soaring Yields, and AI

Q3 2026 review: the Iran ceasefire collapsed, the Strait of Hormuz closed again and oil rose about 30%, reversing the…

Matthew Rice · September 30, 2026 · 19 min read
Market Recap & Outlook: Your Weekly Market Compass – September 25, 2026 Market Compass

Market Recap & Outlook: Your Weekly Market Compass – September 25, 2026

The bond market had a forceful week, and equities declined to listen. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped more than 13…

Matthew Rice · September 25, 2026 · 11 min read